Great explanations! I just have a simple question I can't wrap my head around just yet. When you say
//This means that if a striker racks up 20 xGOT in a season while registering 15 xG, his Shooting Goals Added would be: 20 − 15 = +5. In other words, his finishing skill delivered five extra goals above expectation for his team over that period.//
Shouldn't it mean that his finishing skill IS EXPECTED TO deliver 5 extra goals above expectation, BEFORE THE GK'S SHOT STOPPING ABILITY COMES INTO PLAY? Because nowhere in the equation do we have actual goals scored come into play, it reasons that actual goal also should not feature in the outcome?
Thanks for clarifying and pointing out where my fallacy may be!! :)
Thanks for clarifying! Keep up the good work! I'm also new to Substack myself and loves the stats aspects of football - even (with help of AI) doing some very preliminary programming in order to perform my own analysis.
Great explanations! I just have a simple question I can't wrap my head around just yet. When you say
//This means that if a striker racks up 20 xGOT in a season while registering 15 xG, his Shooting Goals Added would be: 20 − 15 = +5. In other words, his finishing skill delivered five extra goals above expectation for his team over that period.//
Shouldn't it mean that his finishing skill IS EXPECTED TO deliver 5 extra goals above expectation, BEFORE THE GK'S SHOT STOPPING ABILITY COMES INTO PLAY? Because nowhere in the equation do we have actual goals scored come into play, it reasons that actual goal also should not feature in the outcome?
Thanks for clarifying and pointing out where my fallacy may be!! :)
Hi Fritz, Yes, you’re exactly right. I will correct it for better precision 🙏
Thanks for clarifying! Keep up the good work! I'm also new to Substack myself and loves the stats aspects of football - even (with help of AI) doing some very preliminary programming in order to perform my own analysis.
Hope to learn lots from you!
These all definitely not new concepts, but as I am putting them down I am clarifying them for myself as well. Thank you for the feedback 🙏
Great stuff again sir!
Cheers 🙏
Loving the format and level of explanation
Thank you Toby 🙏
Enjoyed this, looking forward to the rest
I really enjoy writing these 🙏